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Weather & Forecasting · Recorded milestone

AI ensemble forecasting

Recorded year2024

Google DeepMind's GenCast produces 15-day probabilistic forecasts that beat ECMWF's ensemble on most measures, in minutes on one chip.

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Built on

Ensemble forecastsRecorded · 1992enables
AI weather forecastingRecorded · 2023enables

Led to

AI disaster forecastingRecorded · 2025enables
AI hurricane track forecastsRecorded · 2025enables
Hour-ahead tornado warningsForecast · ~2033enables
Reliable month-ahead forecastsForecast · ~2035enables

Sources & evidence

Additional source

Dataset updated 2026-10-18. This individual record has not been separately re-reviewed.