Robotics & Automation · Projected milestone
Robots that repair robots
55% by 2040 · including earlier years
The year is an editorial timing estimate. The percentage applies to occurrence by the stated deadline. These estimates are not calibrated odds.
Field robots diagnose and replace each other's broken parts, keeping fleets running without human mechanics.
Explore this milestone on the interactive mapWhat the forecast means
Milestone stage: deployment
unknown
Multi-fault diagnosis and modular repair by physical robots.
Completion criteria: A real fleet demonstrates autonomous diagnosis and repair of at least five common fault classes over three months, with replacement parts pre-stocked and all interventions documented. Making new parts or repairing every possible failure is not required.
This page describes a forecast, rather than an achieved result. Read the methodology and assumptions.
Built on
Led to
Sources & evidence
- BMW Group advances Physical AI with Figure 03 in Spartanburg 2026-06-25
BMW describes the completed Figure 02 production pilot and a new Figure 03 logistics use case. A pilot doing productive work is strong capability evidence; the announcement does not establish broad routine commercial staffing.
- Beyond VLAs: How world action models reshape robot manipulation 2026-08-04
NVIDIA describes video/world-model backbones and Cosmos 3 for robot action learning. This supports demonstrated world-model components, not a claim of universally accurate physics or reliable execution.
Record reviewed 2026-10-18