Personal Devices · Projected milestone
Supervised robot childcare helper
30% by 2048 · including earlier years
The year is an editorial timing estimate. The percentage applies to occurrence by the stated deadline. These estimates are not calibrated odds.
A home robot helps a nearby parent with play, feeding and supervision, within clearly stated limits.
Explore this milestone on the interactive mapWhat the forecast means
Milestone stage: deployment
unknown
A robot can perform the relevant interaction tasks; safe reliable household assistance requires more evidence.
Completion criteria: Independent long-duration household studies and applicable product assessments establish useful assistance, missed-hazard rates and effective parent escalation. The parent remains responsible and nearby; no claim of never losing sight, zero risk or unsupervised childcare is permitted.
This page describes a forecast, rather than an achieved result. Read the methodology and assumptions.
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Sources & evidence
- Helix 2.5: Zero-shot generalization across 30 homes 2026-09-17
Figure reports three trained behaviors tested in thirty unseen homes without home-specific tuning, with aggregate whole-task success increasing from 9% to 56%. This is meaningful transfer and still falls short of dependable general household autonomy.
- What work can robots do? 2026-09-30
Anthropic models robot exposure across physical tasks, separating limited-setting capability from cost-competitive automation. Its index is an assessment rather than a census of deployed robots or a forecast that hardware progress stops.
Record reviewed 2026-10-18