Personal Devices · Projected milestone
Sink-side dish robot
60% by 2032 · including earlier years
The year is an editorial timing estimate. The percentage applies to occurrence by the stated deadline. These estimates are not calibrated odds.
A robot arm beside the sink scrapes plates, loads and empties the dishwasher and puts everything back in the cupboards.
Explore this milestone on the interactive mapWhat the forecast means
Milestone stage: deployment
partially-demonstrated
Relevant manipulation behaviors exist; the complete reliable household product is unconfirmed.
Completion criteria: Independent customer trials in at least twenty kitchens complete the whole sequence with at least 95% success over a month, reporting breakage, intervention, compatible items, safety and total installed price. Individual staged steps do not resolve the product.
This page describes a forecast, rather than an achieved result. Read the methodology and assumptions.
Built on
Led to
No connections of this kind are recorded.
Sources & evidence
- Helix 2.5: Zero-shot generalization across 30 homes 2026-09-17
Figure reports three trained behaviors tested in thirty unseen homes without home-specific tuning, with aggregate whole-task success increasing from 9% to 56%. This is meaningful transfer and still falls short of dependable general household autonomy.
- Beyond VLAs: How world action models reshape robot manipulation 2026-08-04
NVIDIA describes video/world-model backbones and Cosmos 3 for robot action learning. This supports demonstrated world-model components, not a claim of universally accurate physics or reliable execution.
Record reviewed 2026-10-18