Personal Devices · Projected milestone

Private general AI on your own device

Estimated year~2031

50% by 2036 · including earlier years

The year is an editorial timing estimate. The percentage applies to occurrence by the stated deadline. These estimates are not calibrated odds.

A phone or home box runs an expert-level AI that belongs only to you, working offline and keeping what it learns about you private.

Explore this milestone on the interactive map

What the forecast means

Milestone stage: deployment

unknown

Offline expert-level general assistance on desktop-sized personal hardware.

Completion criteria: A retail device no larger than a desktop workstation and drawing at most 1 kW passes the ai_agi work threshold offline with all networking blocked; disclose latency, memory, hardware cost and private-state control. A cloud-backed assistant or a narrow small model does not qualify.

This page describes a forecast, rather than an achieved result. Read the methodology and assumptions.

Built on

3D-stacked chipletsRecorded · 2022enables
Co-packaged photonicsRecorded · 2025enables
Personal AI server at homeRecorded · 2025enables
Expert-level general AIForecast · ~2028requires

Led to

No connections of this kind are recorded.

Sources & evidence

Siri AI and the next generation of Apple Intelligence 2026-09-14
Apple announces beta rollout of richer personal context and systemwide app actions, plus on-device models for some features and cloud models for others. This is not offline expert-level general AI or access to every app/service.
Key Questions on Energy and AI: Executive summary 2026-04-16
The IEA identifies power, grid connection, memory/chip supply and financing bottlenecks alongside rapid efficiency gains. Announced data-center capacity and actual operational demand are different quantities.

Record reviewed 2026-10-18