Personal Devices · Projected milestone
Phone run by its AI agent
70% by 2031 · including earlier years
The year is an editorial timing estimate. The percentage applies to occurrence by the stated deadline. These estimates are not calibrated odds.
A phone uses an AI agent as its main interface for routine booking, payment and form tasks, with apps available as a fallback.
Explore this milestone on the interactive mapWhat the forecast means
Milestone stage: deployment
partially-demonstrated
Personal-context app actions and some agent commerce are deployed; an agent-first cross-service phone is incomplete.
Completion criteria: Independent purchasers complete a pre-registered common-task basket across at least ten third-party services, with published completion/intervention rates and explicit payment approval. An app launcher may remain as a fallback; literally every service is not required.
This page describes a forecast, rather than an achieved result. Read the methodology and assumptions.
Built on
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No connections of this kind are recorded.
Sources & evidence
- Siri AI and the next generation of Apple Intelligence 2026-09-14
Apple announces beta rollout of richer personal context and systemwide app actions, plus on-device models for some features and cloud models for others. This is not offline expert-level general AI or access to every app/service.
- Building commerce agents with Claude 2026-09-02
Anthropic provides commerce-agent reference implementations and describes deployed partner workflows with permission and payment integration. These support narrower useful agents without needing general AI.
Record reviewed 2026-10-18