Computing · Projected milestone
Whole-Earth simulation
Estimated year~2031
55% by 2036 · including earlier years
The year is an editorial timing estimate. The percentage applies to occurrence by the stated deadline. These estimates are not calibrated odds.
Simulations model the planet down to individual people and buildings.
Explore this milestone on the interactive mapWhat the forecast means
Milestone stage: milestone (legacy definition)
Completion criteria: Legacy milestone: refine the observable threshold before resolving.
This page describes a forecast, rather than an achieved result. Read the methodology and assumptions.
Built on
Led to
- Tipping-point early warningForecast · ~2034enables
- Live 3D twin of every big cityForecast · ~2035enables
- Digital twins of nationsForecast · ~2040enables
- Predictive science of complex systemsForecast · ~2052requires
- Stored simulated worldsForecast · ~2085enables
- Exactly solvable economicsForecast · ~2086enables
- Physics-exact virtual worldsForecast · ~2086enables
- Biosphere run as one systemForecast · ~2093enables
- Planetary engineering scienceForecast · ~2097requires
Sources & evidence
No individual source links are recorded for this milestone. Source coverage and review status vary across the atlas.
Dataset updated 2026-10-18. This individual record has not been separately re-reviewed.