Medicine · Projected milestone
Clinically validated phage-matching platform
60% by 2040 · including earlier years
The year is an editorial timing estimate. The percentage applies to occurrence by the stated deadline. These estimates are not calibrated odds.
A standardized platform matches patient bacterial isolates to quality-controlled phage treatments and shows a prespecified clinically meaningful benefit in a confirmatory controlled human trial for one resistant infection.
Explore this milestone on the interactive mapWhat the forecast means
Milestone stage: clinical validation
early controlled and personalized clinical studies reported
Timing window: 2028–2039. An editorial range, not a statistical confidence interval.
Completion criteria: A standardized platform matches patient bacterial isolates to quality-controlled phage treatments and shows a prespecified clinically meaningful benefit in a confirmatory controlled human trial for one resistant infection. Resolve only from inspectable evidence meeting every stated criterion; a plan or extrapolation does not resolve it.
This page describes a forecast, rather than an achieved result. Read the methodology and assumptions.
Built on
Led to
Sources & evidence
- Randomized first-in-human trial of inhaled BX004-A phage cocktail 2025
2025 phase 1 b/2 a randomized first-in-human trial report included nine adults; evidence is early, not broad clinical efficacy or approval.
- Personalized inhaled bacteriophage therapy for multidrug-resistant P. aeruginosa 2025
Personalized treatment evidence motivates larger trials; it does not establish routine hospital service.
- Engineered bacteriophages for treatment of a patient with disseminated drug-resistant M. abscessus 2019
Published 2019 compassionate-use case with engineered phages; case evidence does not establish a generally approved therapy.
Astra editorial synthesis; cited researchers retain credit for their results
Record reviewed 2026-10-18