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Medicine · Projected milestone

Clinically validated phage-matching platform

Estimated year~2033

60% by 2040 · including earlier years

The year is an editorial timing estimate. The percentage applies to occurrence by the stated deadline. These estimates are not calibrated odds.

A standardized platform matches patient bacterial isolates to quality-controlled phage treatments and shows a prespecified clinically meaningful benefit in a confirmatory controlled human trial for one resistant infection.

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What the forecast means

Milestone stage: clinical validation

early controlled and personalized clinical studies reported

Timing window: 2028–2039. An editorial range, not a statistical confidence interval.

Completion criteria: A standardized platform matches patient bacterial isolates to quality-controlled phage treatments and shows a prespecified clinically meaningful benefit in a confirmatory controlled human trial for one resistant infection. Resolve only from inspectable evidence meeting every stated criterion; a plan or extrapolation does not resolve it.

This page describes a forecast, rather than an achieved result. Read the methodology and assumptions.

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Sources & evidence

Astra editorial synthesis; cited researchers retain credit for their results

Record reviewed 2026-10-18