Artificial Intelligence · Projected milestone
Personal AGI within reach of almost everyone
55% by 2040 · including earlier years
The year is an editorial timing estimate. The percentage applies to occurrence by the stated deadline. These estimates are not calibrated odds.
At least 90% of adults can afford and practically access an expert-level personal AI.
Explore this milestone on the interactive mapWhat the forecast means
Milestone stage: adoption
unknown
Expert-level personal assistance independent of universal adoption.
Completion criteria: Independent household/access surveys establish availability, affordable effective cost, useful language coverage and usable infrastructure for at least 90% of adults. Merely offering an English-language website does not qualify; access does not imply everyone uses it.
This page describes a forecast, rather than an achieved result. Read the methodology and assumptions.
Built on
Led to
- Personal AI screening guardianForecast · ~2030enables
- Light tuned to your body clockForecast · ~2036enables
- Ads reach agents, not peopleForecast · ~2038enables
- Accredited AI-run universitiesForecast · ~2040enables
- Agents introduce strangersForecast · ~2040enables
- AI twins keep up your social lifeForecast · ~2042enables
- Licensed AI twins of workersForecast · ~2042enables
- Lenses that edit what you seeForecast · ~2049enables
- Robots cook most restaurant mealsForecast · ~2050enables
- Lifelike androidsForecast · ~2058enables
- Cognitive assistanceForecast · ~2062enables
- Verified answers to any maths questionForecast · ~2062enables
- Human-AI cognitive mergingForecast · ~2070enables
Sources & evidence
- Siri AI and the next generation of Apple Intelligence 2026-09-14
Apple announces beta rollout of richer personal context and systemwide app actions, plus on-device models for some features and cloud models for others. This is not offline expert-level general AI or access to every app/service.
- Key Questions on Energy and AI: Executive summary 2026-04-16
The IEA identifies power, grid connection, memory/chip supply and financing bottlenecks alongside rapid efficiency gains. Announced data-center capacity and actual operational demand are different quantities.
Record reviewed 2026-10-18