Aerospace · Projected milestone
Self-sustaining Mars settlement
Estimated year~2075
4% by 2080 · including earlier years
The year is an editorial timing estimate. The percentage applies to occurrence by the stated deadline. These estimates are not calibrated odds.
A Martian city grows its own food and builds its own parts.
Explore this milestone on the interactive mapWhat the forecast means
Milestone stage: milestone (legacy definition)
Completion criteria: Legacy milestone: refine the observable threshold before resolving.
This page describes a forecast, rather than an achieved result. Read the methodology and assumptions.
Built on
Led to
- First Martian publishing houseForecast · ~2078enables
- Large farms off EarthForecast · ~2078enables
- Crewed outer-planet missionsForecast · ~2080enables
- First off-world self-governmentForecast · ~2080enables
- Mars food industryForecast · ~2080enables
- Mining on MarsForecast · ~2082enables
- Zero-waste Mars citiesForecast · ~2082enables
- 100,000 people on MarsForecast · ~2085enables
- Animals raised on MarsForecast · ~2085enables
- Artificial sun for Mars domesForecast · ~2085enables
- Interplanetary tradeForecast · ~2085enables
- Mars-terraforming microbesForecast · ~2085enables
- Rail on MarsForecast · ~2085enables
- Schools beyond EarthForecast · ~2085enables
- Settlement public healthForecast · ~2085enables
- Dust-storm power reserves on MarsForecast · ~2086enables
- Everyday Mars clothingForecast · ~2086enables
- Mars dust storms controlledForecast · ~2088enables
- Martian domed citiesForecast · ~2088enables
- Music made for Martian airForecast · ~2088enables
- Planet-scale land artForecast · ~2090enables
Sources & evidence
No individual source links are recorded for this milestone. Source coverage and review status vary across the atlas.
Dataset updated 2026-10-18. This individual record has not been separately re-reviewed.